In progress

Productivity convergence in Turkey since 1950

The paper presents an analysis of sectoral and spatial dimensions of the productivity convergence that happened since 1950.

Long-run crop yields in Turkiye

Funded by TUBITAK 1001 for 2024-2026. The project aims to develop crop-yield prediction models Turkey’s provinces. First, I look into the the temporal and regional trends of major crops using the historical time series data since the 1930s. I test the yield-plateau thesis, which has been a subject of debate in the literature. Second, I develop predictive models for crop yields using economic, agronomic and climate variables using spatial econometrics and Machine Learning techniques, using the province-level annual data since the 1960s.

Agricultural growth in the 1930s in Turkiye

With Marvin Suesse. This study aims to explore how the price shocks, railrodas expansion and the populationg growth shaped the agricultural growth in Turkiye after between 1927 and 1938, using a novel district level dataset. We highlight the conditions under which a reversal of fortune happened, whereby the output gap between the prior commercial agricultural locations and lagged regions declined.

Adoption of Better Cotton in Turkey

with Pınar Ceylan and Ayşe Doğrubak. We explore the drivers of the farmers’ adoption of Better Cotton Initiative in Turkey. Using a farmer survey, we explore the cognitive and behavioral factors that drive the adoption of Better Cotton.